Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.177280 0.205909 0.237729 0.275727 0.319890 0.369626 0.429928
2025-04-06 0.129490 0.166704 0.212516 0.273115 0.351279 0.448866 0.580233
2025-04-13 0.105178 0.145339 0.198380 0.273675 0.378054 0.518022 0.720653
2025-04-20 0.092547 0.135489 0.195554 0.285892 0.418742 0.607645 0.897974
2025-04-27 0.082511 0.126977 0.192339 0.295686 0.455653 0.694986 1.082467
2025-05-04 0.074255 0.119476 0.188960 0.303852 0.490033 0.781585 1.276177
2025-05-11 0.066282 0.111052 0.182670 0.306018 0.514430 0.854656 1.456988
2025-05-18 0.058756 0.102183 0.174279 0.303209 0.529624 0.913731 1.621158
2025-05-25 0.051368 0.092484 0.163137 0.293987 0.532181 0.951012 1.751368
2025-06-01 0.047747 0.088848 0.161835 0.301598 0.564898 1.044002 1.992410
2025-06-08 0.043659 0.083805 0.157343 0.302667 0.585460 1.116960 2.204806
2025-06-15 0.040707 0.080496 0.155567 0.308463 0.615366 1.210339 2.467720
2025-06-22 0.036589 0.074510 0.148184 0.302782 0.622790 1.262537 2.658217
2025-06-29 0.033258 0.069696 0.142541 0.299924 0.635636 1.327265 2.883837
2025-07-06 0.030676 0.066084 0.138847 0.300540 0.655595 1.408627 3.155176
2025-07-13 0.029551 0.065402 0.141087 0.313972 0.704548 1.556838 3.592867
2025-07-20 0.028266 0.064208 0.142078 0.324741 0.748881 1.700200 4.038604
2025-07-27 0.026935 0.062738 0.142280 0.333721 0.790193 1.841641 4.498671
2025-08-03 0.025225 0.060193 0.139774 0.336103 0.816348 1.951286 4.896860
2025-08-10 0.023302 0.056913 0.135204 0.333014 0.828964 2.030398 5.230030
2025-08-17 0.021120 0.052750 0.128092 0.322873 0.822964 2.063674 5.451118
2025-08-24 0.020252 0.051728 0.128401 0.331243 0.864592 2.219896 6.013880
2025-08-31 0.019042 0.049698 0.126006 0.332418 0.887784 2.332062 6.473995